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Everything posted by G. David Felt
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Interesting part of this is that in 2014, China was producing as much coal as the rest of the world combined just about and using almost equal to the world combined. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=16271 A year later in 2015, China takes on an aggressive clean up effort. 66% of China power in 2013 was from coal, 2014 it actually dropped to 64% and down to 62% for 2015 leading to the coal price slump that caused in 2016 for all coal companies in the US to declare Bankruptcy. Production from Coal has already dropped to 53.7% now and will continue to drop as China pushes to go below 50% by 2020 and to reduce ICE auto's to 50% by 2030. http://www.reuters.com/article/china-coal-idUSL3N0WL32720150326 Here is an updated story that was published in March 2016 showing China dropped another 3.7% in coal use and they are shutting down and cleaning up open pit mines in the country. The drive to improve health of their people and their country is a primary push as they move to alternative green forms of power production and consumption. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/03/world/asia/china-coal-consumption-down.html Over all, at least what is reported tends to show China aggressively changing how they do things. Nuclear, Wind and Solar for them is growing much faster, so I would say they are following the history of what the US has done. Based on this news: http://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-a-f/china-nuclear-power.aspx China has 37 Nuclear reactors producing power, 20 under construction and even more about to start construction. This covers the current state of Solar: http://www.powermag.com/growth-of-solar-power-in-china-offers-lessons-for-u-s-study-says/ China produces 71% of the solar modules worldwide in comparison to 1.3% produced in the US. in 2010 China only had 800 MW (Mega Watts) of solar production and now at the end of 2015 43,500 MW of power production. 50 times increase. Under China's 5 yr plan, they will triple solar power production by 2020. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/601093/china-is-on-an-epic-solar-power-binge/ In regards to Wind this info is based on the Global Wind Energy Council: http://www.gwec.net/chinas-wind-power-see-steady-growth/ China had 18 Gigawatts of wind power production in 2009. The capacity they are adding will have them at 300 gigawatts by 2020 and their long term goal is 400 Gigawatts by 2030. This info was current as of 2012. Now this report is an update as of April 2017: http://www.ratingsalerts.com/2017/04/26/growth-of-wind-power-in-china/ China is leading the world in wind power energy production and surpassed the earlier info by 65%. China had at the end of 2016 487 Gigawatts of Wind power production. They have stated in their 5 year plan that the country will produce 800 GW of power by 2021. China is working to close in on the largest producer of power via wind India. Over all, these green alternative forms of power production will help China reduce and possibly surpass the US in being green and clean by 2030. The US needs to WAKE up to the Green production movement and companies like Ferrari needs to look at Hybrid and EV CUV's. V12 powered ICE auto's are NOT needed when we have proof of how powerful a Tesla X is. Ferrari hopefully will focus on beating Tesla with a superior Luxury CUV!
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China is turning off the ICE / Diesel spigit to clean up their air. All about the EV baby!
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Tesla's Upcoming Model Y To Use Model 3 Platform
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Tesla
Yes, a way to keep money for those fleeing the extra long wait for a Tesla 3 and really wanting a CUV. With all the other OEM's bringing out CUV's over the next 12 months, I think Tesla's cake is going to be eaten! Exactly, OEM's over the next 12 months will have various new CUV EV's. Tesla missed this boat big time as the Tesla 3 CUV should have been first not the car. Plus other options without long waits will have people going back to their favorite auto dealer. Only way to keep the cash flow going to prop up the company. -
Tesla's Upcoming Model Y To Use Model 3 Platform
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Tesla
Agreed, since the Tesla S & X sold 46,000 last year, If they can double that number to 46,000 Tesla S & X and 46,000 Tesla 3 for 2018 they will be doing good I think. Since they have clarified that they will be adding a Tesla Y CUV on the Tesla 3 platform, I think they really are pushing just how many auto's they can build. -
That looks almost just like the updated mule. LOL
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Tesla's Upcoming Model Y To Use Model 3 Platform
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Tesla
Doubt it, but maybe, Musk says 1800 people a day are making reservations. that is only 32 days away or 57,600 and if the number is true then you have 455,000 + 57,600 = 512,600 but then minus those cancellations which is 63,000 from Jan 1st to July 31st. So take 63,000 divided by 212 days = 297.169 cancelations per day. 32 days times 297.169 = 9,509.4339 cancelations. 512,600 - 9,509 = 503,091 so you may be right, but also I really doubt Musk is getting 1,800 reservations a day. I still expect the reservations to be below 400,000 by the end of the year and only about 20 to 30,000 model 3's actually delivered. Would it not be 63,000 / 455,000 = 13.8% -
I doubt PSA will return to North America as a car dealer. I can see a ride sharing app along with their TravelCar ride service. I would think they are having to use US based auto's.
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Tesla's Upcoming Model Y To Use Model 3 Platform
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Tesla
During the earnings call Musk answered the question about reservations and cancellations. http://www.thedrive.com/tech/13163/63000-people-have-cancelled-their-tesla-model-3-reservations-so-far They had 518,000 reservations at the start of the year and have now had 63,000 cancellations so far leaving them with 455,000 reservations. If this stays steady, then expect another 63,000 cancellations leaving them with 392,000. Yes I am sure they might get a few more reservations but now that people see the production auto and see the limited options, I kinda doubt they will get much more and expect them to close out the year under 400K reservations. Clearly the difference between 480,000 and 455,000 is a big one. Where did you get this number? -
Yawn, big deal, Over rated CEO saying that an over rated Italian sports car maker is going to build an SUV. Late to the party as always! Talk about a serious lack of vision for the future and planning.
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Yes and if it was not for them using those engines in other products, all those engine options would not survive for a single auto that only sells 100K a year globally. GM like MB uses the engines in various tunes on various products throughout their portfolio. Thus spreading the cost of R&D around to allow them to have options.
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Nope, got snipped to prevent that. No need or want for a baby at my stage in life.
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Meh, I have mixed feeling about moving the Mid engine corvette from behind the front wheels but in front of the driver to behind the driver but still in front of the rear tires. Be interesting to see how this changes the 51% / 49% weight distribution.
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Ultimate Dream Garage: 12 Cylinder Edition
G. David Felt replied to Frisky Dingo's topic in The Lounge
For me then that means the following is all I would be interested in: Cadillac had a V12 from '31-37 Lincoln had a V12 from '32-48 1932 V12 Custom Auburn GMC Cab Over V12 from 60-65 Mack RS700L V12 Detroit Diesel -
Sales: Sales Figure Ticker: July 2017
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Sales Figure Ticker
Agree, both were very fulfilling and allows me to do so much around the house without paying someone else. Yes to some Trade school is a dirty word, but much like some of my nieces and nephews, College was not for them and Trade School is what gave them a decent paying job. I agree with Personal responsibility, but also I hold the GOV accountable for this failure. Do we really need to spend a half a trillion on Defense or can we afford to take say 50 Billion and pay our teachers properly and hold them to a proper level of academic excellence with bonuses much like the private sector for helping kids to learn and exceed standards? Damn Millennials, they need to learn from our European Ancestors. I grew up in a strict German household with high standards for respect for my elders. Working out to be healthy and strong to defend our country, USA and when I saw my parents, grandparents, Aunts, Uncles drink, there was no hush hush, they explained it as an adult beverage, I got a sip to taste and understand what it was about as with all questions. Enough info to satisfy my curiosity. Open, clear communication as a kid, I did it with my own and they both graduated from college and are successful. So no reason to make Alcohol evil, but more about communicate what it is and what it is about. Moderation in Everything.- 45 replies
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So True, they are in a depression now with a huge glut of production. I see things falling apart over the next 10 years.
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Sales: Sales Figure Ticker: July 2017
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Sales Figure Ticker
Agree, Trade school is a far better choice for some than college. Bigger issue is that in the 70's we had career counselors and you had to test and see what interest and skill sets you had that would allow you to best be able to have a successful life. I do not find these in schools today so our school system FAILS our own students by not helping to guide them. Now I DO HOLD the PARENTS accountable for also recognizing the skills and smarts of their own kids to guide them in a solid direction but then you need the schools to help mold and continue to support the kids. The Kids are not getting the help they need from home or our public schools to succeed. Also for those that can afford private schools great, but that is not for everyone nor can we afford to go to a private school system in the US as this truly brings in a cast system. Public schools we need to be reinvesting in and paying far better wages to teachers so we can capture some of the brightest minds in molding and growing our future workers of America.- 45 replies
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G. David Felt - Staff Writer Alternative Energy - www.cheersandgears.com BP in talks to Electrify Service Stations Globally! BP has opened talks with all global automakers to about offering EV charging stations at it's global network of service stations, Chief Executive Bob Dudley told Reuters on Tuesday. The BP CEO says the change by governments in banning ICE auto's and the move to EV's will threaten the traditional ICE service station and they will die if they do not change to support the future needs of customers. BP is looking to take a slice of this growing market early in comparison to their competition. The only other Oil Company to do this is their Rival Royal Dutch Shell who has started their own pilot program in select locations where EV's are already making up a noticeable share of the auto's being driven. BP is estimating that a minimum of a 100 million EV's will be on the roads by 2035 up from the 1.2 million globally in 2015. Noticeable is that both Shell and BP have lagged behind in adding solar and wind as renewable energy suppliers to their portfolio as the shift begins away from oil. Both BP and Shell are using venture capital funds to invest in new start ups that can cover the Wind / Solar energy markets as well as EV charging infrastructure. BP will be reining in spending to control and make sure they are profitable at a sustained $30-$50 a barrel oil price over the foreseeable future. BP's CEO says he does not see any profitable play in the U.S. Shale industry for them compared to Exxonmobil, Chevron and Shell who are the 3 largest players in that market. BP is one of the largest players in Shale Natural Gas in Argentina as they look to grow their world wide shipping and sales for both CNG and LNG. The CEO also denied reports that they were considering putting up for sale their North Sea Business as that is their heartland. BP EV Chargers Reuters BP Story
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G. David Felt - Staff Writer Alternative Energy - www.cheersandgears.com 440 Mile Cascade Loop Scenic Byway is the First fully Electrified highway of the Top 10 Drives in the Country! Thanks to businesses and home owners the 440 mile Cascade Loop Scenic Byway is fully electrified from the south end of Whidbey Island up and over Deception pass, east to Liberty bell pass, down to Winthrop, over to Wenatchee and back over Highway 2, Stevens Pass to Everett. This expansion of the Electric highway continues to open up this beautiful country to everyone especially those that want to minimize their carbon footprint. Cascade Loop Story & Video West Coast Electric Highway
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G. David Felt - Staff Writer Alternative Energy - www.cheersandgears.com Right-of-Way, to give Power to the People in Seattle! Seattle in moving forward to address climate change is using their easement rights all over the city to expand their charging program. Seattle reserves the first 8 feet around your property as an easement that they can come on and pretty much do anything they want. With Seattle DOT EVCROW program, seattle is hoping to push beyond the few thousand charging stations around the city and make it 10's of thousands of charging stations by allowing public and private EV charging infrastructure providers to install EV charging stations on non-residential streets / properties throughout the city to expand the ability for charging of EV / Plug-in Hybrids. The goal is to have 30% plus of all registered auto's to be EV's by 2030. This Electric Vehicle Charging in the public right of way pilot program (EVCROW) is about speeding up the process and addressing the complexity to implement EV chargers everywhere. This program will run till July18th 2018 allowing folks to more easily install EV chargers and the City can see how they can streamline and simplify the installation and use of EV chargers. It looks like people could end up with public chargers on their property that faces the streets so others can charge up. While I am a huge EV fan, not sure I like the city taking over and using my private property as a charge station. What do you think? Seattle DOT Story
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Sales: Sales Figure Ticker: July 2017
G. David Felt replied to William Maley's topic in Sales Figure Ticker
Agreed, have a Mongolian family that are friends, both their kids know Mongolain, Russian, both dialects of Chinese, Korean and Japanese. The son graduated from High School with his AA fully transferable to the UW here, he then went there and graduated 2 years later with my wife. He got two degrees, bachelors in Business from their Foster Business school and a Bachelor's in accounting. His senior year, he got paid by a CPA firm to sign with them. All he had to do was graduate, he now just finished passing his CPA exams for the state. 22 years old, dual degree and making $100K a year at this CPA firm. He just got pre-approved for a $500K mortgage loan and is now looking for a house to move his parents, sister and him into. His sister is in the same program at Highschool and is going to follow in his same footsteps. Crazy smart kids but also driven to succeed. Way more driven than most kids today. America offers so much, yet so many kids are not taking advantage of grabbing the golden tickets that are there as it is too much work as I hear them complain about.- 45 replies